Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.434361 0.511716 0.596961 0.697611 0.812926 0.940631 1.092475
2024-10-06 0.339006 0.447049 0.577929 0.746947 0.958098 1.211742 1.537889
2024-10-13 0.254984 0.372110 0.526406 0.741754 1.031263 1.403302 1.913187
2024-10-20 0.196933 0.314965 0.482536 0.732858 1.091255 1.578780 2.283271
2024-10-27 0.156422 0.272047 0.447689 0.726398 1.148003 1.750283 2.660624
2024-11-03 0.131102 0.245927 0.431211 0.741239 1.233104 1.965778 3.116110
2024-11-10 0.110218 0.222127 0.413231 0.749091 1.305637 2.166577 3.565016
2024-11-17 0.092933 0.200642 0.394750 0.751968 1.368264 2.355239 4.008694
2024-11-24 0.080261 0.184870 0.383078 0.763620 1.444673 2.569920 4.507771
2024-12-01 0.068807 0.168932 0.368162 0.766636 1.505214 2.762106 4.983586
2024-12-08 0.056247 0.147790 0.339579 0.739849 1.509023 2.858084 5.306036
2024-12-15 0.050823 0.141259 0.338916 0.765937 1.610685 3.128401 5.940430
2024-12-22 0.045371 0.133719 0.335444 0.786951 1.706850 3.400187 6.603881
2024-12-29 0.042577 0.132185 0.344809 0.835618 1.861391 3.789384 7.502757
2025-01-05 0.036299 0.120086 0.328379 0.827313 1.902161 3.972774 8.045442
2025-01-12 0.030867 0.108855 0.311936 0.816448 1.935974 4.144799 8.578160
2025-01-19 0.026462 0.099361 0.297944 0.808896 1.975195 4.328982 9.144288
2025-01-26 0.023755 0.094319 0.294340 0.825019 2.066393 4.621048 9.933506
2025-02-02 0.021077 0.088624 0.287996 0.833566 2.141460 4.885781 10.685927
2025-02-09 0.018551 0.082701 0.279949 0.836694 2.204342 5.129696 11.411957
2025-02-16 0.016658 0.078468 0.275921 0.849479 2.290412 5.427160 12.262099
2025-02-23 0.014717 0.073453 0.268678 0.852786 2.354318 5.681979 13.040629
2025-03-02 0.012212 0.065313 0.250305 0.823355 2.336430 5.759904 13.460334